Premier League Relegation Odds 2024/25: Which Are the Favourites for The Drop Towards The Championship?
As the 2024-25 Premier League season kicks into full gear, the drama isn’t just reserved for the title race. At the other end of the table, the relegation scrap is already shaping up to be a fierce and unforgiving battle. With dreams on the line and pressure mounting, a handful of clubs are fighting to stay afloat—and the bookies have their favourites for who’s most likely to sink. From newly promoted hopefuls to seasoned strugglers, here’s a look at the clubs teetering closest to the edge of the Championship next season, including Leicester City and Southampton.
The Latest Premier League Relegation Odds
Everton: Navigating a Season of Uncertainty
Everton’s 2024/25 season was a rollercoaster. Early in the campaign, their relegation odds were set at +250, reflecting concerns over squad depth and off-field issues. However, as the season progressed, the team managed to stabilize their form. Key performances, including a crucial win against Fulham, helped them steer clear of the relegation zone. By late April, statistical models gave Everton a mere 0.12% chance of relegation, indicating a successful turnaround.
Ipswich Town: A Swift Return to the Championship
Ipswich Town’s return to the Premier League after more than two decades was met with optimism. However, the season proved challenging. Despite moments of promise, including a notable 2–2 draw against Chelsea, the team struggled to maintain consistency. A series of defeats, culminating in a 3–0 loss to Newcastle United, confirmed their relegation with four games remaining. This marked the first time in Premier League history that all three promoted teams were relegated with games to spare.
Nottingham Forest
At the start of the season, bookmakers had Forest among the relegation candidates, with odds reflecting their previous struggles. Fast forward to May 2025, and the narrative has dramatically shifted. Forest now boasts a 71.43% implied probability of finishing in the top four, according to Sky Bet, and an even higher 81.60% chance based on Opta’s supercomputer projections. At the start of the season, bookmakers had Forest among the relegation candidates to face going back down to the Championship, with odds reflecting their previous struggles. Fast forward to May 2025, and the narrative has dramatically shifted. Forest now boasts a 71.43% implied probability of finishing in the top four, according to Sky Bet, and an even higher 81.60% chance based on Opta’s supercomputer projections.
Southampton: Odds-On for the Drop
Southampton’s return to the Premier League has been challenging. With only one league win and a series of defeats, the Saints find themselves at the bottom of the table. Bookmakers have set their relegation odds as low as 1/500, reflecting the team’s struggles this season.
Leicester City: A Tough Season Back in the Top Flight
Leicester City’s promotion back to the Premier League hasn’t gone as planned. The Foxes have suffered multiple defeats, including a 3–0 loss to Newcastle United, marking their eighth consecutive home defeat without scoring—a new record in English football. Their relegation odds stand at 2/7, indicating a significant risk of returning to the Championship.
Other Teams in the Mix
While Southampton and Leicester are the primary candidates for relegation, other teams are also in the conversation. Ipswich Town, Nottingham Forest, and Wolverhampton Wanderers have been mentioned in betting markets, with varying odds reflecting their performances and fixtures ahead.
📊 Betting Odds Overview
Here’s a snapshot of the current relegation odds:
- Southampton: 1/50 (lowest odds 1/500)
- Leicester City: 2/7 (lowest odds 1/6)
- Ipswich Town: 5/1
- Nottingham Forest: 12/1
- Wolverhampton Wanderers: 12/1
Note: Odds are subject to change based on team performances and other factors.
Premier League Relegation Betting Tips
Focus on Current Form, Not Reputation
A club’s history doesn’t guarantee safety. Take Everton, for example—despite their storied past, recent struggles and off-field issues have put them at risk. Always prioritize current performance over past glories.
Defensive Strength is Key
Teams that concede too many goals often face relegation. If a team regularly lets in 2+ goals per game, they’re in trouble. Ipswich Town, for instance, may have a strong attack, but their defensive weaknesses make them a prime candidate for the drop.
Seek Value Beyond the Favorites
The shortest odds aren’t always the best bet. Teams like Nottingham Forest or Wolves might not be the top picks, but a bad run or injuries can quickly change their odds. Betting on them early could be profitable.
Timing Matters: Early vs. Late Season
Some bookmakers offer markets like “bottom at Christmas.” This is a great option if you think a team will start poorly but might recover later. Newly promoted teams often struggle early before finding their rhythm—or not.
Check the Fixture List
Review upcoming matches before placing bets. If a team like Luton Town has a tough run against top-six sides, their odds might lengthen—offering a good opportunity for better returns. Conversely, an easy run could hide deeper issues.
Managerial Stability is Crucial
Frequent managerial changes often lead to instability. Teams in chaos behind the scenes, like Everton in recent years, are usually the ones struggling come May.
Keep an Eye on Injuries and Transfers
A mid-season injury to a key player or a failed January transfer window can be disastrous. Stay updated on team news, especially for clubs with thin squads like Burnley or Sheffield United (if promoted or borderline).
⚽ Conclusion
The fight to avoid relegation is heating up, with Southampton and Leicester City facing significant challenges. As the season progresses, performances on the pitch will determine which teams can secure their Premier League status and which will face the drop.
