After a standout Premier League season and a call-up to England’s Euro 2024 squad, Jarrad Branthwaite has become one of the most in-demand defenders in Europe. The towering Everton centre-back is now at the heart of transfer speculation, with his future dominating headlines as major clubs circle ahead of the summer window. With odds slashed and bookmakers reshuffling the market weekly, this deep dive into Branthwaite’s next club odds reveals who’s most likely to land the 22-year-old—and what it could mean for Everton’s future.
Who Is Jarrad Branthwaite — And Why Are Clubs Lining Up?
Standing at 6’5”, Jarrad Branthwaite completed more clearances per 90 (5.7) than any other Everton player in the 2024/25 season. His pass completion rate also stood at 87.4%—well above average for Premier League centre-backs. The Everton star played 35 league matches, clocking 3,150 minutes, with a tackle success rate of 67%. He was also part of England’s Euro 2024 squad, marking his rise in both domestic and international ranks.
Scouts rate his anticipation, aerial strength, and left-footed distribution as rare assets. Clubs seeking a long-term defensive leader see Branthwaite as the ideal profile.
What Do The Latest Odds Say On His Transfer?
As of mid-June 2025, multiple bookmakers place Manchester United as favourites, with odds around 6/5 (45% implied probability). Chelsea follow at 3/1, while Liverpool and Spurs are longer shots, priced at 9/1 and 12/1 respectively.
Bet365, Sky Bet, and betfair all list United and Chelsea as front-runners. Everton’s own odds to retain the defender hover around 5/2—suggesting a roughly 28% chance he stays. These odds have shifted since April, with odds slashed following Branthwaite’s England debut. Market movements suggest bettors anticipate at least one more serious bid—likely from a top-six club.
Why Is Manchester United Favourite To Sign Him?
Man United have made two formal approaches in 2024, with Everton rejecting bids of £43 million and £50 million respectively. United’s defensive issues—particularly with Harry Maguire aging and Lisandro Martínez’s fitness—mean a left-footed, high-duel-win-rate centre-back is essential.
The Red Devils conceded 57 goals in 2024/25—their worst record since 2019. With a 58% aerial duel win rate, Branthwaite offers an instant improvement. Erik ten Hag (or successor Rúben Amorim) seeks a long-term solution alongside Raphaël Varane‘s likely exit.
Stat-based scouting profiles published by FBref place Branthwaite in the top 10% of Premier League defenders for clearances, blocks, and defensive aerials won.
Are Chelsea Serious This Summer?
Chelsea finished 4th and returned to the Champions League, adding major appeal for Branthwaite. The Blues’ defence faced structural changes after conceding 46 goals. Benoît Badiashile struggled with injuries, and Levi Colwill is reportedly on Liverpool’s radar.
Chelsea’s transfer model prioritises age (under 23), versatility, and resale value—all boxes Branthwaite ticks. Statistically, Chelsea’s defensive line lacks a dominant aerial presence, with their best header (Thiago Silva) leaving the club. Branthwaite would likely slot in as first choice.
Bookmaker odds price Chelsea’s chance at 3/1, and reports indicate they’ve “already bid twice” under new sporting director Paul Winstanley.
Could Liverpool Make A Move Across Merseyside?
While it would be one of the boldest moves in Merseyside history, Liverpool do have cause for interest. Virgil van Dijk, now 33, led Liverpool’s aerial duels and defensive line—but needs succession planning.
Branthwaite would fit the Anfield mould: calm under pressure, technically sound, and dominant in the air. However, Everton have no record of selling to their Merseyside rivals Liverpool, and Branthwaite’s ties to the club make a move across Merseyside unlikely.
Still, bookmakers price Liverpool around 9/1, implying roughly a 10% chance. Fan backlash and media scrutiny could stall any move unless Branthwaite actively pushes for it.
Is A Deal With Tottenham Hotspur Possible?
Spurs conceded 52 goals last season—5 more than Brighton. Their need for a physical defender is evident. Manager Ange Postecoglou reportedly wants a left-footed ball player, with Tottenham linked to players like Tosin Adarabioyo and Marc Guéhi. Branthwaite ranks higher in aerials won (66.1%) and long pass accuracy.
Tottenham’s odds for branthwaite next club odds remain at 12/1 but shortening. Daniel Levy is known for late-window moves, and if rivals pull out, Spurs could make a move in August.
What Stands In Everton’s Way Of Selling?
The Toffees face Financial Fair Play scrutiny for a third successive year. A sale in the region of £65–70 million would balance books and allow squad reinvestment. Branthwaite’s contract (until June 2027) gives them strong leverage, and internal reports say they won’t entertain offers under £60 million.
Despite rejecting offers in 2024, Everton’s financial outlook changed after narrowly avoiding relegation (finishing 16th). Defensive stats also support holding firm—Everton conceded just 42 goals, largely due to Branthwaite and Tarkowski.
What Will Branthwaite Demand In A Transfer?
Beyond wages—expected to double from £50,000 to £100,000 weekly—Branthwaite reportedly wants Champions League football and a clear path to England’s XI. He also values stability and development opportunities.
Any club wishing to sign Branthwaite must match Everton’s valuation and offer a guaranteed role. He is not expected to push for a transfer, but would accept a move if terms were suitable. Chelsea and United remain the most likely suitors.
How Could A Move Affect Everton’s Defence?
Without Branthwaite, Everton’s defence would lose their most reliable outlet. The 22-year-old averaged 2.1 interceptions, 3.9 clearances, and completed 81% of his long passes per match.
His replacement—either internal or a £10–15 million signing—would likely be statistically inferior. Everton will likely turn to youth (Jarrad Welch, Jack Tierney) or seek free agents, but none match Branthwaite’s dual threat: aerial dominance and progressive passing.
When Might A Transfer Happen—And What Next?
The 2025 transfer window opens July 1. United and Chelsea are expected to submit revised bids by mid-July. If no deal is reached by early August, Branthwaite may stay until winter.
Expect more movement after Euro 2024. Clubs failing to land other targets (e.g., Matthijs de Ligt) may return for Branthwaite. According to transfer expert data, players who feature at major tournaments see a 15–20% valuation spike post-competition.
🔍 Summary Of Key Insights
- Jarrad Branthwaite next club odds place Manchester United as favourites (6/5), followed by Chelsea (3/1), Liverpool (9/1), and Tottenham (12/1).
- Everton’s asking price is £70 million; they’ve rejected multiple bids already.
- United need a left-footed centre-back due to ageing personnel and poor defensive stats (57 goals conceded in 2024/25).
- Chelsea are rebuilding with under-23s and value resale potential.
- Liverpool interest exists, but a move across Merseyside is politically and emotionally difficult.
- Branthwaite made 35 league appearances in 2024/25, with top-tier stats in aerial duels, interceptions, and pass completion.
- A transfer is likely to make headlines this summer, especially post-Euro 2024.
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